laliga odds generated at: 14:33:42 22/05/2022
value bets
| Team/Fixture | Market | Calc Prob (%) | Bookies Odds | Kelly Criterion (%) | Alpha (%) | Bookies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elche-vs-getafe | away_win | 51.04 | 2.73 | 0.33 | 39.34 | 188Bet |
| elche-vs-getafe | X2 | 76.99 | 1.38 | 0.60 | 6.25 | Bet365 |
team analysis
| Team | Fixture | Team xG | Team xG Conceded | Form | Table Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | alaves v. cadiz | 1.12 | 1.62 | 0.932 | 20 |
| Cadiz | alaves v. cadiz | 1.94 | 1.57 | 0.872 | 18 |
| Barcelona | barcelona v. villarreal | 1.07 | 0.64 | 1.020 | 2 |
| Villarreal | barcelona v. villarreal | 2.11 | 1.55 | 0.956 | 7 |
| Espanyol | granada cf v. espanyol | 0.88 | 1.70 | 0.772 | 13 |
| Granada CF | granada cf v. espanyol | 1.19 | 1.26 | 0.968 | 16 |
| Osasuna | osasuna v. mallorca | 0.89 | 1.61 | 0.804 | 10 |
| Mallorca | osasuna v. mallorca | 1.09 | 1.71 | 0.956 | 17 |
| Atletico Madrid | real sociedad v. atletico madrid | 1.52 | 0.70 | 0.960 | 3 |
| Real Sociedad | real sociedad v. atletico madrid | 1.92 | 1.41 | 0.940 | 6 |
| Athletic Club | sevilla v. athletic club | 1.39 | 1.17 | 1.040 | 8 |
| Sevilla | sevilla v. athletic club | 1.35 | 1.53 | 0.932 | 4 |
| Getafe | elche v. getafe | 0.75 | 0.48 | 0.924 | 14 |
| Elche | elche v. getafe | 0.46 | 1.73 | 0.884 | 15 |
match results
| Fixture | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| alaves v. cadiz | 31.8% | 16.3% | 51.8% |
| barcelona v. villarreal | 57.1% | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| granada cf v. espanyol | 60.6% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| osasuna v. mallorca | 36.6% | 21.5% | 41.8% |
| real sociedad v. atletico madrid | 36.1% | 16.6% | 47.4% |
| sevilla v. athletic club | 35.8% | 18.6% | 45.5% |
| elche v. getafe | 23.0% | 26.0% | 51.0% |
goal probability matrix
| TeamName | zero | one | two | three | four | five | six |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 28.2% | 35.7% | 22.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cadiz | 20.4% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Barcelona | 23.2% | 33.9% | 24.7% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Villarreal | 38.3% | 36.8% | 17.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Espanyol | 50.0% | 34.7% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Granada CF | 27.3% | 35.4% | 23.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Osasuna | 35.6% | 36.8% | 19.0% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mallorca | 33.0% | 36.6% | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atletico Madrid | 21.9% | 33.3% | 25.2% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Real Sociedad | 26.3% | 35.1% | 23.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Athletic Club | 26.4% | 35.2% | 23.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sevilla | 30.5% | 36.2% | 21.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Getafe | 36.5% | 36.8% | 18.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elche | 52.8% | 33.7% | 10.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
backtest performance (beta)
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